Pumphouse Wallet Graph Research Update: Cluster Risk and Holder Snapshots

Pumphouse wallet graph research now includes cluster risk analysis and enhanced holder snapshots.

Cluster Risk Analysis

The latest Pumphouse figures show a cohort of 74 wallets with a claim rule of >=2.5x lift on >=2 fresh non-overlapping live windows. This data is critical for understanding cluster risk in Solana meme-coins. The /root/Pumphouse/narrative_engine.db and /root/Pumphouse/narrative_private_api/confluence.json files contain the most recent narrative engine outputs and confluence data, respectively. The Pumphouse research team is analyzing these wallet clusters to identify potential risk factors.

Holder Snapshots

Pumphouse has been tracking holder snapshots to analyze the distribution of meme-coin holdings. The /var/www/memes/api/watchlist.json and /var/www/memes/api/trending.json files provide insights into the current watchlist and trending meme-coins. The paper model, with a bankroll of GBP 50.0 and a stake of GBP 0.5, has been used to simulate various trading strategies, including the BUNDLE_V, BUNDLE_Q50, and VELO lanes. These simulations help researchers understand how different strategies perform under various market conditions.

Paper Demo Evidence

The paper demo has been running with various momentum lanes, including MEDIA_VELO, MEDIA_VELOR, VELO, and VELOR, at a capital allocation of GBP 2.5. The outcomes of these simulations are available in the /root/Pumphouse/reports/canary_firewall_demo/latest.json file. The results show varying degrees of success across different lanes, with VELO achieving a 51.5% win rate on 338 trades. The research team is reviewing these results to refine their trading strategies.

Research Methodology

Pumphouse research methodology involves analyzing various data points, including wallet edges and PumpSwap survival rates. The /root/Pumphouse/services/pumphouse_exec_router.py file contains the latest execution router logic, which is used to manage the paper demo and live trading strategies. The /var/www/memes/api/manifest.json file provides an overview of the current manifest, including the latest updates and changes. By combining these data points, researchers can gain a deeper understanding of the Solana meme-coin market.

Detailed Findings

The cluster risk analysis has revealed several key insights into the behavior of wallet clusters in the Solana meme-coin market. The research team has identified a strong correlation between cluster size and risk, with larger clusters posing a greater risk to the overall market. The holder snapshot analysis has also provided valuable insights into the distribution of meme-coin holdings, highlighting the importance of diversification in trading strategies.

Caveats

While the paper demo outcomes are promising, it is essential to note that these results are not live and should not be taken as investment advice. The actual performance of the strategies may vary in live trading. The cluster risk analysis is still in its early stages, and more research is needed to fully understand its implications. Further analysis is required to determine the effectiveness of the Pumphouse research methodology.

The Pumphouse research board is available at https://memes.freedomcore.io/. For more information on the Pumphouse method, visit https://memes.freedomcore.io/how-it-works/. Related research notes can be found on the Atlas notes page. For more information on FreedomCore, visit https://freedomcore.io/. The Solana RPC WebSocket docs are available at https://solana.com/docs/rpc/websocket, and Pump.fun docs can be found at https://docs.pump.fun/. This note follows the Schema.org BlogPosting structure.