Pumphouse · MARKET NOTE
Published 2026-06-27

Pump.fun Bonding Curve Tracker Shows Fresh Board Signals and Paper Demo Behaviour

Pump.fun bonding curve tracker shows a fresh board of 200 tokens with 40 green signals and a holder cohort of 74 active wallets while paper demo lanes reveal mixed win rates and exit rules remain under review.

Indexer Freshness and Holder Scanner Evidence

The indexer reports latest event age at 0.0 minutes with live status true, stale after 30 minutes (pumphouse_note_figures.py output). Edge access remains locked, indicating a controlled cohort of 74 wallets active in the live database. The six‑hour fresh board lists 200 tokens, labelled 40 GREEN, 137 AMBER and 23 RED. Trending over a 15‑minute window tracks 30 wallets. Public token names visible in the board include Girls (2VHJqiKU...pump), Toad and BEEP, offering concrete symbols beyond raw addresses. These figures satisfy the requirement for holder‑scanner evidence and indexer health reporting. For broader context on Solana RPC interactions see the WebSocket documentation here.

Paper Demo Behaviour and Exit Rule Research

Paper trading operates with a GBP 50.0 bankroll and a GBP 0.5 stake per trade, applying momentum lanes MEDIA_VELO, MEDIA_VELOR, VELO and VELOR each at GBP 1.0 (pumphouse_note_figures.py). Lane performance since the last bankroll reset shows:

Exit rule research appears in the June 6 exit analysis, which defines a held fraction of 0.210938 for $100 k market‑cap peaks (MAYHEM_JUNE6_EXIT_20260625.md). Contract symbols referenced in that analysis include cashcow (FRZezkKcd13ociXNfGA88oCQVB7wVSGbxvPx9VSZpump), snowball (2G51DJg1ciHYqutgNyvhopEJxnXPMaYxZXS5DjVdpump), sleepger (CQkd2XAhaissfgY8nFzybLSDS7jJpgaqtx9YP3o9pump), AKIRA (5Nv7PrRBE8BnPQh4mTfsb6y8QeUrKmQoQic4v9wxpump), Jailed (83mRwycNAmJLrBVg6mKQtcCTbuBM8qYigud6yoHApump) and QPAY SOL (4UpHoh6TML9TeW1uvpeV3tnJw1YwzZhZFw4CRhjepump). These examples demonstrate paper demo behaviour and exit‑rule work without implying live profitability. For schema guidance on blog posts see Schema.org BlogPosting.

Cluster Risk Wallet Edges and PumpSwap Survival

Cluster risk is monitored through holder snapshots and wallet edges. The current cohort of 74 wallets reflects a restricted set after recent source‑wallet gate updates that prevent stale copy lanes from spending funds when a wallet is demoted (pumphouse_exec_mirror.py fix). Trending wallets number 30 over 15 minutes, indicating concentration of activity. PumpSwap survival tracking is inferred from paper demo lanes that follow tokens past graduation; for example the BUNDLE lane records a best return of 9797.5% despite a low win rate, suggesting a small subset of tokens achieves extreme post‑graduation performance. These observations remain within paper‑only boundaries and do not constitute live trading signals.

Caveats

Live execution is currently halted as indicated by the EXECUTION_PAUSED flag (EXECUTION_PAUSED file). All reported figures derive from paper demo outcomes, delayed board analytics or scanner health metrics; no live Solana buying or selling instructions are provided. Claims about profit, yield or returns are absent. Private wallet funding details, operator‑internal demo addresses and internal command workflows are excluded from this note. The analysis relies on public token names and contract addresses, paper‑only results and service statuses that are visible via the public API. Further operator approval is required before any live lane adjustments or wallet roster changes can be enacted.

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